Scotland's public finances

Scotland’s Economic and Fiscal Forecasts

Author / Creator: Scottish Fiscal Commission

Media type: Report

Date published:

The total funding available to the Scottish Government is forecast to be £61,677 million in 2026-27, an increase of 1.3 per cent relative to 2025-26.


Scottish Government Bonds and Investing in Ourselves March 2026

Author / Creator: William Thomson

Media type: Article

Date published: 2026

Why the Scottish Government must pause the wholesale bond programme and reevaluate the issuance to consider funding investment from within Scotland.


How will next SNP government tackle fiscal mess left by this one?

Author / Creator: John McLaren

Media type: Article

Date published: 2026

A weary government’s major ‘achievement’ has been to hide the cuts coming down the line 


Setting the scene: Scotland on the eve of the 2026 Election

Author / Creator: João Sousa

Media type: Report

Date published: 2026

Analysis of public finance issues for the 2026 election.


UK Government betrays Scotland with massive cuts to post-EU funding

Author / Creator: Business for Scotland

Media type: Article

Date published: 2026

Jobs are being lost, growth is being slowed, communities are struggling - whilst England gets a better deal.


Two narratives of Scotland’s policy performance

Author / Creator: Richard Parry

Media type: Article

Date published: 2026

We face two competing pre-election narratives on Scotland’s present position.


How we set policy baselines

Author / Creator: Scottish Fiscal Commission

Media type: Report

Date published: 2024

A policy baseline is the set of values we include in our forecast covering all policy aspects of the tax
and social security systems. This includes factors such as tax and social security rates, thresholds,
payment amounts, eligibility criteria and implementation timings.


Scotland’s Finances – The Truth

Author / Creator: Believe in Scotland

Media type: Article

Date published: 2023

Scotland cannot afford to continue subsidising this failing, disinterested and dysfunctional Union.


Fiscal Sustainability Report

Author / Creator: Scottish Fiscal Commission

Media type: Report

Date published: 2023

First report on the long-term fiscal sustainability of the Scottish Government’s budget. 


Scotland: Currency Options and Public Debt

Author / Creator: Angus Armstrong

Media type: Article

Date published: 2014

What currency option would be best for an independent Scotland


The “Fiscal Deficit” in Wales: why it does not represent an accurate picture of the opening public finances of an Independent Wales

Author / Creator: John Doyle

Media type: Report

Date published: 2022

The UK government statement of the financial deficit of an independent Wales is grossly exaggerated.


Scotland’s Finances – The Truth

Author / Creator: Business for Scotland

Media type: Blog

Date published: 2022

There is no set of accounts that tells us how an independent Scotland’s economy would fare, nor what its finances would look like. Not yet anyway.


Can an Independent Scotland stand on its own two feet?

Author / Creator: John Jappy

Media type: Blog

Date published: 2013

"If Scotland votes for Independence,... those of us living north of the Border will not lose out." John Jappy