Who supports Scottish independence?

The odds are of course changing all the time.  At September 2021 the betting was slightly favouring independence, while the polls were slightly favouring remain.

Full answer here: Betting odds on Scottish independence

Yes voters in 2014 tend to remain yes. Voters not born in Scotland are likely to be persuadable to Yes. Support for independence is volatile in males aged 34-55, but is stable in other  groups. Social groups ABC1 tend to vote "No", but the proportion changes rapidly, indicating there are persuadable people in the group.  C2DE social groups are most likely "Yes" voters.  Labour and Liberal Democrat voters are volatile in their support for independence.  Conservative voters are the most likely to vote "No", although 5% are independence voters.

Full answer here: Supporters of Scottish independence

How Voters View the Economics of Independence

Author / Creator: JOHN CURTICE

Media type: Blog

Date published: February 2022

Unionists need to win the economic argument in the eyes of voters; for nationalists, on the other hand, a draw might well be enough.

What Scotland Thinks

Author / Creator: ScotCen; socal research that works for society

Media type: Website

Date published: 2014

Impartial, up-to-date information on public attitudes towards how the constituent parts of the UK should and are being governed.

Religion and Political Parties

Author / Creator: Graham Walker

Media type: Book

Date published:

Catholicism and Protestantism have had allegiance to different parties. The change of the catholic community to the SNP has had significant effects.


How do we resolve tensions between SNP and the wider Yes movement?

Author / Creator: Gerry Hassan

Media type: News Media

Date published:

 The politics of party and movement have differences, particularly when the former is a ruling party holding office.

Understanding Scotland - Society

Author / Creator: Diffley Partnership

Media type: survey report

Date published: October 2021

A look at Scottish society as we emerge from the pandemic, and addresses the fundamental questions: Is Scotland on the right track? Where do we want to go as a country? And who do we trust to help us get there?

How the argument for Yes and UK intransigence are changing minds

Author / Creator: Believe in Scotland

Media type: Article

Date published: 2021

Disillusionment with the UK and the disastrous effects of Brexit are driving a series of high-profile expressions of support for Scotland’s independence.

Believe in Scotland’s Big Indy Poll Results

Author / Creator: Believe in Scotland

Media type: Opinion poll

Date published:

A survey of over 3,000 people indicates that Scotland will have a referendum, that the spring of 2023 is most popular and that the vote will be "yes". Also that the coalition between SNP and Scottish Greens makes the referendum more likely.

200 No to Yes voters tell us why they now believe in Scotland

Author / Creator: Believe in Scotland

Media type: Opinion poll

Date published:

A survey of 200 people who changed from "no" to "yes" showed multiple reasons.  The main ones were:

  • The effect of Brexit
  • UK government incompetence
  • Better Together lied
  • Had come to have more belief in Scotland
  • Felt NHS was not safe as part of the Union

Brexit and Territorial Preferences: Evidence from Scotland and Northern Ireland

Author / Creator: Lesley-Ann Daniels

Media type: Academic Paper

Date published:

The harder the border with EU, the more popular support in Scotland's independence is indicated. It follows the sentiment toward the EU closely.  In Northern Ireland the support for unification follows religious lines.

Who's Voting Yes? The Demographics of Independence

Author / Creator: Ellen Dalzell

Media type: Podcast

Date published:

Ellen Dalzell has campaigned for “New Scots” to be included in Scotland’s democracy both through being able to vote and for them to be better included in data that informs democratic campaigning. 


The Yes Volunteers: Capturing the biggest grassroots campaign in Scotland’s history

Author / Creator: Iain Black

Media type: Assessment report

Date published: March 2016

This report examines who the volunteers of the 2014 Yes campaign were, what they did, what they thought of the campaign and their experience of it and the results from it provide evidence to support, refine or debunk ideas held about the campaign.

The Demographics of Independence – 2021 Edition

Author / Creator: Craig Dalzell

Media type: Assessment report

Date published:

Country of Birth is a substantial driver of support for independence.  Support for independence is particularly volatile amongst males aged 34-55 but remains relatively stable for other age groups.  Support for independence amongst females is generally rising in all age groups.

Remain voters are far more likely to say they will vote for independence and Leave voters now far more likely to vote against.  

Social grades ABC1 were overwhelmingly likely to vote No.  Social grades C2DE are extremely likely to vote for independence.