Brexit

Brexit and Beyond: the union

Author / Creator: UK in a Changing Europe

Media type: Report

Date published: February 2021

What happens to powers that were formerly exercised at the EU level, but which fall within devolved competence, has been a recurrent source of disagreement between the UK Government and the devolved administrations.


The Legacy of Brexit John Curtice

Author / Creator: John Curtice

Media type: Report

Date published: February 2021

The decision to leave the EU has helped fuel an increase in support for independence in Scotland, where, in contrast to the rest of the UK, voters backed Remain in 2016 by 62% to 38%


Covid or Brexit?

Author / Creator: Anand Menon

Media type: Report

Date published: October 2021

The short term economic disruption is largely due to Covid and is experienced throughout the world.  The UK faces structural adjustments that are down to Brexit and are likely, over the medium to long-term, to make the UK...poorer.


UK-EU regulatory divergence tracker: second edition

Author / Creator: Joel Reland

Media type: Report

Date published: Dec 2021

[This] provides an overview of where and how the UK has used its newfound regulatory freedoms to diverge from EU standards. It explains what the changes are, what impact they are having, and likely further consequences.


Brexit and Devolution: A New UK Settlement or the Break-Up of Britain?

Author / Creator: David Gow

Media type: Review

Date published: May 2018

An analysis of the constitutional conflict between Westminster and the devolved administrations in Edinburgh, Cardiff and Belfast...concludes that the UK faces a stark choice between a new political/constitutional settlement or the break-up of Britain.


European Union Views of the UK post-Brexit and of the Future EU-UK Relationship

Author / Creator: Kirsty Hughes

Media type: Policy Paper

Date published: June 2021

This paper analyses how the UK is currently perceived across the EU, how the future EU-UK relationship is considered in the medium term, and how the UK’s constitutional strains are understood. 


The State of Scotland

Author / Creator: Neal Ascherson

Media type: Book

Date published: 2020

There can be no going back from devolution. But going forward from it could make the United Kingdom unrecognizable and project the old ‘British’ nations into a more modern and flexible relationship.


Scotland and Europe

Author / Creator: Kirsty Hughes

Media type: Book

Date published: 2020

Brexit has worsened the relations between Scotland and UK.  The reduction in powers consequent on the Westminster taking all the powers "returned" from the EU into its own perview with out recognition the effect on devolved powers has yet to be resolved.


Independent wellbeing economy offers hope rather than Brexit chaos

Author / Creator: Believe in Scotland

Media type: Article

Date published: 2021

Independence offers the only realistic chance of escape from a government seemingly hell bent on damaging our economy


Scotland the Brief

Author / Creator: Gordon MacIntyre-Kemp

Media type: book

Date published: 2020

All you need to know about Scotland's economy, its finances, independence and Brexit.


200 No to Yes voters tell us why they now believe in Scotland

Author / Creator: Believe in Scotland

Media type: Opinion poll

Date published:

A survey of 200 people who changed from "no" to "yes" showed multiple reasons.  The main ones were:

  • The effect of Brexit
  • UK government incompetence
  • Better Together lied
  • Had come to have more belief in Scotland
  • Felt NHS was not safe as part of the Union


Scotland’s European Relations: Where Next?

Author / Creator: Kirsty Hughes

Media type: Policy Paper

Date published: 2021

The Scottish government’s European strategy aims to maintain and develop Scotland’s European relations in Brexit environment. And to Focus on issues of common interest, including the climate emergency, wellbeing, innovation and human rights.  For now, Scotland’s European relations are rather positive despite the impact of Brexit. Yet they are also strongly affected by the state of EU-UK relations which currently are difficult and fractious – and UK-Scotland constitutional tensions


Only independence can fix damage of Brexit, Open Minds #13

Author / Creator: The National

Media type: News Media

Date published:

Scotland's economy benefits from a range of advantages that few other countries of similar size can match. Our natural wealth is a key foundation stone for a prosperous future as an independent country. It is reasonable to believe that a country as naturally wealthy as Scotland would thrive if it were to gain the power to manage for its benefit.


The UK’s Brexit mismanagement, Open Minds on Independence #11

Author / Creator: Believe in Scotland

Media type: News Media

Date published: 2021

There were a number of  mistakes made in negotiating a Brexit arrangement. 
This was imposed on Scotland against its will. It has turned out to be a disaster for key industries.

1. Ignoring the wishes of Scotland and the other devolved nations 

2. Sticking so rigidly to “getting Brexit done” that it made an acceptable trade deal impossible. It was immediately apparent there were serious problems.

3. Underestimating just how big a problem taking Northern Ireland out of the EU would be. 


Brexit and Territorial Preferences: Evidence from Scotland and Northern Ireland

Author / Creator: Lesley-Ann Daniels

Media type: Academic Paper

Date published:

The harder the border with EU, the more popular support in Scotland's independence is indicated. It follows the sentiment toward the EU closely.  In Northern Ireland the support for unification follows religious lines.


Brexit and the Scottish Question

Author / Creator: Sionaidh Douglas-Scott

Media type: Academic Paper

Date published:

The 2016 Scottish vote for remaining in the EU received no consideration by the UK government for possible special arrangements.  The prospect of a new independence referendum gains credibility as the constitutional convention on consultation was considered irrelevant by the UK government.


Scottish independence would be 2-3 times more costly than Brexit, and rejoining the EU won’t make up the difference

Author / Creator: Hanwei Huang

Media type: Blog

Date published:

Scottish independence would be 2-3 times more costly than Brexit over 15 years. Rejoining the EU wwll make up part of the difference in trade value.  This made headline news for a time.  The methodology for this prediction has been questioned.


Brexit, Scotland, and the Continuing Divergence of Politics.

Author / Creator: M K Thompson

Media type: Academic Paper

Date published: 2019

Differences of politics in Scotland and England leads to claims that the Scottish people are being governed against their will.  This creates a constitutional crisis which has manifested in desires for self-government.  Brexit contradicts the 2014 referendum assurances that only by rejecting independence could Scotland stay in the EU.
 


“Aye means always” Scottish independence activism in a Time of Brexit

Author / Creator: Pam Ackermans

Media type: Thesis

Date published:

This thesis looks at independence campaigning in the midst of uncertainty.  It looks at how campaigning develops at a time of political uncertainty in the present and for the future.


Brexit and the inevitability of Scottish Independence

Author / Creator: Paul Cairney

Media type: Assessment report

Date published:

Only independence can remove the democratic deficit.  Scottish independence is the cosmopolitan choice.  There will be some economic damage, uncertainty, and a new currency.  No has, in some ways, a stronger case in the second referendum but a far lower chance of success: it will lose because there will be no-one out there able to tell the No story.