Independence is not Going Away: The Importance of Education and Birth Cohorts

Primary Author or Creator:
Lindsay Patterson
Publisher:
Political Quarterly
Date Published:
Category:
Type of Resource:
Article
Length (Pages, words, minutes etc...)
9pp
Fast Facts

Support for Scottish independence has remained stable since the change in the leadership of the
Scottish National Party in March 2023, despite the fall in support for the party.

More details

The article ana-
lyses the sociological basis of independence support since 1979, using data from the Scottish
Social Attitudes Survey and recent opinion polls. The recent stability reflects three main changes:
the pronounced growth in support among people born since the 1970s; the growth of education
in these same cohorts; and the shift to the left of the independence campaign. These long-term
trends suggest that the level of support for independence, and of opposition to it, are unlikely
to be affected strongly or permanently by the transient fortunes of the SNP

English