Independence referendum
Answer:
A vote for independence would be a major change for the UK. Just as a simple majority was required for the Brexit vote, it is reasonable to expect the same to be the case for independence.
Full answer here: Majorities in UK Referenda
Answer:
The odds are of course changing all the time. At September 2021 the betting was slightly favouring independence, while the polls were slightly favouring remain.
Full answer here: Betting odds on Scottish independence
How devolution shaped modern Scotland: referendums, SNP dominance and a changed UK
Author / Creator: Adam Le Grice
Media type: Article
Date published:
The years that followed the SNP victory in the Scottish Parliament saw a radical change in the political landscape of Scotland and the UK
Scottish independence referendum: role of the Supreme Court
Author / Creator: David Torrance
Media type: Article
Date published:
Yesterday (28 June 2022) Nicola Sturgeon, the First Minister of Scotland, set out a “route map” to holding a second referendum on the question of Scottish independence.
This Insight looks at what the Scottish Government is proposing and related legal issues.
STATE OF THE UNION
Author / Creator: Will Tanner
Media type: Report
Date published: 2021
The State of the Union ... reveals how rising support for independence is volatile.
Supreme Court doubles down on the UK referendum position
Author / Creator: Richard Parry
Media type: Article
Date published: 2022
The UK knows now knows that holds the legal cards, but politically it is the veto player with limited democratic grounding.
Unhelpful Clarifications
Author / Creator: Michael Keating
Media type: Article
Date published: 2022
The Supreme Court judgment on the legality of a Scottish independence referendum is to remove democratic rights.
Scottish Independence And The UK Government’s Unreasonable Refusal To Negotiate
Author / Creator: Sionaidh Douglas-Scott
Media type: Article
Date published: 2022
The UK Government’s conduct in refusing to negotiate with Scotland on independence is reprehensible.
Independence Is Not About Process Politics. It Is About Democracy.
Author / Creator: Gerry Hassan
Media type: Article
Date published: 2022
Referenda talk concentrates on process rather than substance, misses the big picture here of democracy, and overlooks the nuances of public opinion.
Scotland's New Choice: Independence after Brexit
Author / Creator: Eve Hepburn
Media type: eBook
Date published: 2021
Opportunities and challenges surrounding the prospect of independence for Scotland in the light of changes since 2014.
Not up to the courts
Author / Creator: Ciaran Martin
Media type: Article
Date published:
It is unrealistic to think that Scotland will leave the Union without the consent of Westminster. This makes the key question a political one, which the courts cannot resolve.
Would Scots vote for indy? What’s the question…!
Author / Creator: Rob Ford
Media type: Article
Date published:
The form of the question on a referendum would make a difference in results.
Time for the SNP to get serious
Author / Creator: James Mitchell
Media type: Article
Date published:
“The issues are whether and how an independent Scotland would make the transition, at what cost, paid for by whom, over how long and, crucially, what policies would be needed to get to a position where people are at least no worse off. These are not insurmountable but they are challenging.”
Believe in Scotland’s Big Indy Poll Results
Author / Creator: Believe in Scotland
Media type: Opinion poll
Date published:
A survey of over 3,000 people indicates that Scotland will have a referendum, that the spring of 2023 is most popular and that the vote will be "yes". Also that the coalition between SNP and Scottish Greens makes the referendum more likely.
Scottish independence: could wind power Scotland back into the EU?
Author / Creator: Piotr Marek Jaworski
Media type: News Media
Date published:
Scotland’s competitive advantage in green energy ought to be an important part of the economic case for independence when the second referendum takes place.
Busting the last of the myths around independence. Open Minds on Independence #20
Author / Creator: Believe in Scotland
Media type: News Media
Date published:
This article looks at myths about Scottish independence.
MYTH 7: Nationalism is by its very nature a bad thing
MYTH 8: An independent Scotland would be last in the queue to join the EU
Myth 9: You can’t hold a referendum without Westminster’s “permission”
Myth 10: Independence for Scotland would abandon the rest of the UK to permanent Tory rule
This is why the Westminster myths about independence are wrong. Open minds on independence #18
Author / Creator: Believe in Scotland
Media type: News Media
Date published:
This looks at three myths about Scottish independence:
MYTH 1: You'll have had your referendum.
MYTH 2: Scotland has a huge deficit because we spend too much on public services.
MYTH 3: The costs of establishing Scotland as an independent country will be huge.
Brexit has reinvigorated Scottish nationalism
Author / Creator: The Economist
Media type: News Media
Date published:
Scottish independence is a constitutional project, not an economic one. Fixing who governs you takes precedence over an easy life for supermarkets or civil servants. Brexit has shown that a committed government, with the mandate of a referendum and an appetite for dislocation, can go a long way.
Scottish independence
Author / Creator: Institute for Government
Date published: 2021
This is a largely factual explainer by the Institute for Government of the issues around a referendum and the results of its success.
Within Our Grasp
Author / Creator: Robin McAlpine
Media type: Policy Paper
Date published:
A campaign strategy that will apply maximum pressure on the Westminster Government and achieve independence within three years of its commencement.